What’s Been Happening with 1inch Lately
The past few weeks have been busy for 1inch. The team has been rolling out infrastructure upgrades and working on protocol improvements that could change how the platform operates. The biggest news is the Aqua Shared Liquidity Protocol, expected to go live sometime in early 2026. The idea behind Aqua is pretty straightforward—it lets capital move freely across different DeFi strategies instead of getting stuck in separate pools. If it works as planned, it could make the whole system more efficient.
But not everything is smooth sailing. 1inch Labs is facing some heat from its DAO delegates about money flows. Apparently, the protocol’s treasury is running low because expenses keep piling up while fee income isn’t keeping pace. This kind of governance drama tends to make investors nervous, and you can feel that uncertainty in how people are talking about the token right now.
On the market side, 1INCH has been riding a wave of altcoin rotation. When Bitcoin and Ethereum take a breather, money often flows into smaller tokens looking for momentum. That’s partly why we’ve seen some upward movement recently. Analysts have been watching the $0.10 level closely—breaking above that mark with solid volume would be a meaningful signal. But the bigger picture still matters. Institutional money has been flowing out of Bitcoin spot ETFs, and hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts keep getting pushed back. All of that creates headwinds for altcoins like 1INCH.
Where the Charts Stand Right Now
As of this writing, 1INCH is trading around 0.0957 USDT, up roughly 7.18% in the last 24 hours. That’s a decent bump, though it’s too early to call it a full trend reversal. The technical picture shows cautious optimism with some important details worth noting.
The 4-hour RSI is sitting at about 61.7. That’s in the “mildly bullish” zone—not overheated yet, but showing that buyers are showing up. There’s still room to run higher before things get too frothy, though it’s also a reminder not to get overly aggressive with leverage here.
The MACD tells a similar story. The MACD line just crossed above its signal line, with a small positive histogram reading around 0.001070. This is an early bullish signal, but the crossover is modest. Think of it as accumulation rather than a full-blown breakout. The kind of move where smart money might be building positions quietly.
Moving averages paint a short-term bullish picture too. The simple moving average sits around 0.09116 USDT and the exponential moving average is slightly higher at 0.09196. Current price trading above both suggests support has been pushing prices up recently, which is what you want to see in a building uptrend.
Daily pivot points give us the key battlegrounds. The main pivot is around 0.09593 USDT. Resistance levels stack up at roughly 0.09677, 0.09803, and 0.09887 USDT. On the downside, support shows up near 0.09467, 0.09383, and 0.09257 USDT. These are pretty tight bands, which means the price could move fast in either direction if something triggers volume.
Reading Between the Lines
The combination of a MACD crossover, price above recent moving averages, and RSI in neutral-to-bullish territory suggests the short-term trend favors the upside. But there’s a catch. The resistance zone near 0.098 to 0.100 USDT has held firm before. If price can’t punch through convincingly, we could see it get stuck in a range or drift back down to retest support around 0.093 to 0.094.
Those narrow daily pivot bands cut both ways. On one hand, they create opportunity for quick wins if something positive happens—maybe a partnership announcement or progress on the protocol roadmap. On the other hand, they increase the risk of sharp drops if sentiment turns or if macro news goes the wrong way. And let’s not forget the fundamental concerns about revenue and governance. Those aren’t going away quickly and could weigh on the token even if technicals look good.
What Could Happen Next
Based on everything we’re seeing—technicals, fundamentals, and market context—here are two realistic scenarios for how 1INCH might move in the coming days and weeks.
If things go well: A break above the 0.098 to 0.100 USDT resistance zone, especially with strong volume, would open the door to 0.105 USDT and possibly higher. Getting above 0.10 cleanly tends to attract momentum traders who’ve been waiting on the sidelines. You’d want to see the MACD histogram keep growing and RSI push toward 70 to confirm the move has legs. This scenario works best if we get some positive catalyst—progress on Aqua, good news on governance, or just a general crypto market rally.
If things stall out: Failure at resistance would likely send price back toward the pivot zone near 0.0959 USDT. If that doesn’t hold, first support around 0.0946 comes into play, followed by the 0.0925 to 0.0938 range. In this scenario, volume would probably dry up and any negative macro news—more Bitcoin ETF outflows, hawkish Fed talk, general risk-off sentiment—could accelerate the slide. This path becomes more likely if governance concerns stay unresolved or if the broader crypto market loses steam.
Time horizon matters quite a bit here. Over the next few days, expect price to bounce around in the 0.093 to 0.100 range. For anything more sustained over one to two weeks, fundamental developments will probably matter more than the charts. Protocol updates, governance clarity, or macro shifts will drive the next real move.
Levels and Triggers Worth Watching
If you’re thinking about trading or adjusting positions, here’s what to keep on your radar.
On the downside, watch 0.0947 USDT as primary support. If that breaks, secondary support around 0.0938 to 0.0926 USDT becomes critical. Breaking below these levels would signal increased downside risk and possibly flush out weaker hands.
On the upside, 0.0968 USDT is the first hurdle, followed by the key 0.0980 to 0.1000 USDT zone. Clearing these with conviction would set the stage for a proper short-term rally and potentially bring in more buyers.
Volume is the validator. Rising volume as price approaches or breaks resistance means real buying interest. Thinning volume near resistance usually means sellers are waiting and a rejection is likely.
Don’t ignore the fundamental triggers either. Any concrete progress on the Aqua launch, clarity from the DAO about revenue and treasury management, or shifts in the macro environment—Fed policy, inflation data, Bitcoin flows—can all move the needle quickly.
Right now, 1INCH is sitting at a crossroads. The recent momentum is encouraging, but the resistance ahead is real and sentiment is fragile. If you’re trading short-term, a clean break above 0.10 offers opportunity. If you’re holding longer-term, keep watching whether the team can deliver on its promises and resolve the governance questions. Without a clear positive catalyst or expansion in volume, the risk-reward sits somewhere around neutral with a slight lean toward downside if resistance holds. Managing risk carefully—using tight stops or scaling into positions around key technical levels—is probably the smartest approach given current conditions.
