Recent Developments & Market Context
Over the past few months, 1inch Network has made some interesting moves to expand its reach in the DeFi space. The big headline is that their Fusion protocol just went live on Solana, which means users can now access those famously low transaction fees and lightning-fast execution times. It’s a smart play—1inch is clearly trying to break free from being just an Ethereum-centric platform and serve traders across multiple chains.
They’ve also rolled out some neat integrations, like the Rewardy Wallet that lets users make gasless swaps in certain situations, plus collaborations like the Blockscan explorer for better cross-chain visibility. These aren’t the flashy announcements that send prices rocketing overnight, but they do build real utility and trust over time.
That said, things aren’t all sunshine. On-chain liquidity looks pretty thin right now, and some recent token unlocks have created selling pressure. Word on the street is that the team might be looking at tokenomics changes—maybe adding deflationary mechanisms or burn programs—but nothing’s confirmed yet. Until we see those reforms actually happen, there’s still meaningful downside risk. The market mood right now? Let’s call it cautiously skeptical.
What the Charts Are Telling Us
Let’s dive into the technical picture. The 4-hour RSI is hovering around 45.7, which puts us in neutral territory—not oversold, not overbought, but leaning slightly bearish. The MACD just crossed above its signal line with a small positive bar showing, suggesting short-term momentum is trying to turn around. But here’s the catch: price is still stuck below some important moving averages.
The 4-hour SMA sits at about $0.11180, and the EMA is near $0.11382—both acting as resistance levels that need to be broken for any real upside movement. Looking at daily pivot points, the main pivot is around $0.11243. If the price can hold above that, we’ve got a slightly bullish bias. Resistance levels stack up between $0.11397 and $0.11797, while support zones descend toward $0.10597 and below.
The longer-term moving averages—the 50-day and 200-day SMAs—are sitting above current price levels like a ceiling. They’ve been flattening or sloping downward, which tells us any bounce is going to face some serious resistance unless we see a real surge in demand. The short-term EMAs are trying to curve upward, though, so if price manages to punch through those 4-hour resistance levels, we could see a relief rally toward $0.114–$0.118. But if it fails? We’re probably heading back down to test $0.108 or even $0.106.
Price Prediction & What Could Go Wrong
So where’s this thing headed? In the short term—think next week or two—the most likely scenario has 1INCH trying to push up toward $0.117–$0.118, assuming we hold above that $0.112 pivot zone. If that support breaks, we’re probably looking at a slide down to $0.108–$0.106. The momentum is still pretty weak, so any sharp moves are going to need volume and a catalyst—maybe positive news, tokenomics reforms, or just a stronger overall crypto market.
Looking out one to three months, if the infrastructure improvements and adoption trends continue, there’s a reasonable path to $0.15–$0.18. But that’s a big “if.” It requires better liquidity and clear confirmation that the uptrend is real. Without those ingredients, we’re more likely to see price grinding sideways between $0.10 and $0.14, possibly building a base for a future run.
Risk Factors Worth Watching
A few things could throw cold water on any bullish scenario. First, watch for additional large token unlocks or sustained selling from early investors. Second, the order books are pretty thin right now, which means volatility could spike easily. Third, competition is heating up—other multi-chain aggregators and Layer 2 swap providers are nipping at 1inch’s heels. And finally, don’t ignore the regulatory landscape. Any moves targeting DEXs or token aggregators could seriously constrain growth.
Bottom Line
1INCH is sitting at a crossroads. The technicals are mixed—resistance just overhead, support not far below. The recent product launches and cross-chain expansion are encouraging, but real price appreciation is going to require confirmation: rising volume, a clean break through resistance, and some help from the broader DeFi market. If all those pieces fall into place, a move toward $0.15–$0.18 over the next few months is definitely on the table. If not, expect more sideways chop in the $0.105–$0.120 range while the market figures out what comes next.
