Recent Developments Fueling Momentum
ADI token just launched its mainnet, making it the first institutional Layer-2 network in the Middle East and North Africa region. The platform is designed to support stablecoins and real-world assets, which could be a game-changer for the region’s crypto infrastructure.
The big news is the upcoming UAE dirham-backed stablecoin. It’s being regulated by the UAE Central Bank and will be issued by First Abu Dhabi Bank working alongside IHC. That’s some serious institutional backing.
On the exchange front, ADI has secured listings on Kraken, Crypto.com, and KuCoin. It’s also been integrated into Telegram Wallet, which opens up access to both institutional money and everyday retail traders. All of this has pushed ADI’s price up about 14% over the past week.
What the Charts Are Telling Us
ADI is currently trading around $1.28, and the technical picture is honestly a bit mixed. On one hand, the short-term indicators are flashing warning signs that things might be getting ahead of themselves. The Relative Strength Index sits above 70, which typically means a token is overbought. Other momentum indicators like Stochastic and Williams %R are saying the same thing—basically, the bulls may have pushed too hard, too fast.
That said, the moving averages across different timeframes are still bullish. The price is holding above the 5-, 10-, 20-, and 50-period averages, which suggests the uptrend has some real support behind it. The challenge now is breaking through resistance levels around $1.35 to $1.40. If ADI can push past those, we could see another leg up. If not, there’s decent support waiting around $1.05 to $1.10.
MACD and Trend Strength
The MACD hasn’t given us a clear bullish crossover yet, which would normally confirm that momentum is really building. Without that signal, it’s hard to say the bulls are fully in control. The Average Directional Index shows moderate trend strength—there’s an uptrend, sure, but it’s not powerful enough to sustain big moves without taking breaks along the way.
What this all adds up to is a token that’s likely to bounce around between support and resistance for a while, rather than making a clean breakout right away.
Three Scenarios for Where ADI Could Go Next
Given everything we’re seeing—strong fundamentals, overbought technicals, and momentum indicators that haven’t quite confirmed the next big move—here are three realistic paths forward:
Bull Case: If ADI breaks above $1.35 and keeps climbing past $1.50, we could be looking at a run toward $1.70 to $2.00 over the next few months. This would likely happen if institutional adoption picks up, especially once the stablecoin launches and real-world assets start flowing through the network.
Base Case: More likely in the short term, ADI consolidates between $1.05 and $1.40. You’d see the price test resistance, get rejected, pull back, then try again. This sideways action could continue until we get either a big volume spike or a new catalyst—maybe the stablecoin going live or a major partnership announcement.
Bear Case: If selling pressure takes over—whether from regulatory concerns, delays in the rollout, or just a broader crypto market downturn—ADI could slip back to the $0.80 to $1.00 range. Losing support at $1.05 would be the warning sign that bears are taking control.
Even a pullback to around $1.10 wouldn’t necessarily kill the uptrend, especially if the fundamentals keep improving. But if that support level breaks on heavy volume, things could get ugly fast.
What Investors Should Keep in Mind
ADI is essentially a speculative bet on crypto infrastructure. The upside potential is real, but so are the risks. Long-term success depends on actually delivering the stablecoin, staying compliant with regulators across multiple countries, and driving real usage beyond just having big-name partners on paper.
For short-term traders, keep an eye on volume at those resistance levels. Watch for a MACD crossover to confirm momentum, and pay attention to the RSI to spot when things get too extended. Given the volatility and the possibility of pullbacks, using stop-loss orders or starting with smaller positions might be the smarter play here.
