A Major Shakeup in Axelar’s Foundation
Axelar is going through a big change right now. Back in December 2025, Circle bought Interop Labs—the team that built most of Axelar’s core technology and owned its intellectual property. But here’s the twist: Circle didn’t buy the Axelar network itself. The AXL token and the Axelar Foundation are still out there, governed by the community. A group called Common Prefix has stepped in to keep building the protocol.
For investors, this created some serious uncertainty. It’s not every day that a crypto project’s main development team gets acquired and spun off. Naturally, people got nervous, and the price reflected that with plenty of volatility. But Axelar hasn’t stopped growing. They recently connected Hedera to their cross-chain network using their General Message Passing tools and Interchain Amplifier framework. That means assets can now flow between Hedera, Solana, Ethereum, Base, XRPL, and more. These kinds of partnerships matter because they increase real-world use for AXL tokens.
Where the Price Stands Right Now
At the moment, AXL is trading around $0.05515, up about 5% in the last 24 hours. That’s a decent bounce, and it’s brought some bullish energy back into the chart. Looking at the four-hour timeframe, the RSI sits at roughly 56—comfortably in neutral territory but leaning positive. Not overheated, not oversold. Just room to run if momentum picks up.
The MACD is also showing green. The MACD line crossed above its signal line recently, with a small but positive histogram reading of about +0.00028. Translation: buying pressure is building, at least in the short term. Moving averages are lining up as support too. The four-hour simple moving average is near $0.05382, and the exponential moving average hovers around $0.05422. As long as price holds above these levels, the short-term trend looks intact.
Key Levels to Watch
If you’re trading or tracking AXL closely, here are the important zones based on daily pivot analysis:
Support: First support comes in around $0.0530. If that breaks, watch $0.0508 next, and then $0.0495. Below that last line, things could get messy fast, with a possible slide toward $0.0445.
Resistance: On the upside, the first hurdle is near $0.0565. Push through that and $0.0578 comes into play. The big test sits around $0.060, where weekly moving averages are pressing down. That’s the zone where bulls need to prove themselves.
Right now, AXL is sitting just above the daily pivot at roughly $0.0543, which is a neutral-to-slightly-bullish position. It’s holding its ground, but the next move will depend on whether buyers step in with volume or sellers take control again.
What Could Happen Next?
There are two clear paths forward, depending on how sentiment and fundamentals develop over the coming weeks.
The Bull Case: If Axelar keeps building momentum—maybe through more integrations like Hedera, better developer activity, or positive news from Common Prefix—AXL could push through resistance at $0.0578 and test the $0.060 zone. A clean break there opens the door to $0.063 or even $0.065. Volume will be the key. Without it, rallies tend to fizzle out quickly.
The Bear Case: On the flip side, if the market stays cautious about the Circle acquisition or broader crypto sentiment turns sour, AXL could lose its footing. A drop below $0.0530 would be the first warning sign. Below $0.0495, and we’re likely headed back toward the $0.0445–$0.045 range. That’s where longer-term support may hold, but it would take real conviction from buyers to bounce from there.
Looking further out—say six months to a year—some prediction models are optimistic. If Axelar delivers on its promise of seamless cross-chain communication, real DeFi integrations, and growing transaction volume, the token could climb significantly. Some estimates point toward $0.16–$0.17 in a strong bull scenario. But if execution lags or the market stays flat, expect AXL to churn sideways in the $0.04–$0.08 range for a while.
Bottom line: Axelar is at a crossroads. The tech is solid, the partnerships are growing, but the leadership transition adds a layer of uncertainty. Whether AXL breaks out or breaks down will depend on how well the new development team performs—and whether the market believes in the vision they’re building.
