Bancor (BNT/USDT) Technical Analysis & Price Prediction: Navigating Recovery in Early 2026

Recent News and What’s Moving the Market

Bancor has been making headlines for reasons both promising and concerning. The biggest story right now is the ongoing patent lawsuit against Uniswap, where Bancor claims its 2017 Constant Product AMM patents were infringed. If Bancor wins, we could see licensing revenue and a significant boost to its market position. But if things drag on or end badly, investor confidence could take a hit.

On the flip side, there’s been a wave of delistings—ProBit Global being the most notable—which has squeezed BNT’s liquidity on certain platforms. When there’s less liquidity, big trades become riskier and price swings get amplified. Exchange support matters more than ever when you’re trying to build momentum.

As for price predictions, opinions are all over the map. Community forecasts suggest BNT could trade anywhere from $0.31 to $0.96 in 2026, depending largely on how DeFi adoption plays out. Some analysts are more cautious, warning that if key support levels break, we could see sharper drops.

What the Charts Are Telling Us Right Now

BNT/USDT is currently trading around $0.4233, up about 0.92% over the last 24 hours. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the technical indicators are painting a picture of cautious neutrality with a hint of upside potential.

The Relative Strength Index sits at roughly 51.22—right in the middle, not overbought or oversold. The MACD is slightly below its signal line, but the histogram is showing a small positive reading, which suggests bullish momentum might be starting to build. It’s subtle though, not enough yet to call a trend reversal.

Both the Simple Moving Average and Exponential Moving Average are hovering right around the current price at approximately $0.42, which tells us BNT is stuck in a tight consolidation zone. Price is coiling up, waiting for a catalyst to break one way or the other.

Here are the key levels traders are watching on the daily pivots:

Resistance: R1 at $0.4272, R2 near $0.4308, R3 around $0.4359
Support: S1 at $0.4185, S2 near $0.4134, S3 around $0.4098

Where BNT Could Be Headed From Here

The Most Likely Path: Staying in a Range

For the next month or two, BNT will probably trade between $0.4185 and $0.4308. If buyers can push it above the $0.427–$0.431 zone with decent volume, we might see a test of $0.436. But if support at $0.4185 fails, the next stop could be $0.4098 or lower. Volume is everything here—without strong buying interest, dips could accelerate quickly.

If Things Go Right: The Bullish Case

Let’s say BNT breaks convincingly above $0.431 on strong volume, maybe helped by a favorable court ruling or renewed interest in DeFi. In that scenario, we could see BNT climb toward $0.55 to $0.60 by mid-2026. Some forecasts even suggest an average price range of $0.58–$0.67 if conditions align well. It’s not guaranteed, but the upside is real if momentum builds.

If Things Go Wrong: The Bearish Risk

On the other hand, if bearish pressure takes over—whether from regulatory headwinds, continued liquidity issues, or lackluster protocol adoption—BNT could test the $0.41 to $0.40 zone. A break below $0.4098 opens the door to $0.38–$0.35, where long-term holders might step in to accumulate or defend the price. But prolonged weakness could weigh heavily on sentiment and drag things lower.

Looking Six to Twelve Months Out

Over the medium term, BNT’s trajectory will hinge on protocol upgrades like Bancor 3 improvements and legal clarity from the Uniswap case. If things break positively, we could see BNT trading in the $0.60–$0.75 range, with spikes higher depending on broader market cycles. But if resistance holds and developer activity stalls—or if more exchanges drop support—prices could slip back toward the $0.25–$0.35 range under stress.

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