Recent Developments Shaping Short-Term Trends
BounceBit has been facing some headwinds lately, mainly due to token unlock events that released over $5 million worth of BB tokens into circulation back in mid-November 2025. Historically, this kind of supply surge tends to create downward price pressure unless there’s strong buying demand or effective locking mechanisms to absorb it. On a brighter note, BounceBit rolled out its V3 upgrade, which brought some interesting new features to the table—including rebasing BB-tokens like BBTC, BBETH, and BBSOL. These tokens automatically compound yield and can be used as collateral or in liquidity pools, making them much more versatile. The V3 launch happened in mid-October and the migration from V2 vaults went pretty smoothly. There’s also talk about implementing a fee switch for their futures trading product, with revenues potentially going toward a BB buyback program. If executed well, these initiatives could attract more institutional interest and provide solid long-term support for the token’s value.
4-Hour & Daily Technical Indicators
Right now, BB/USDT is sitting at around $0.06843, which represents a roughly 4.43% drop over the last 24 hours. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 38—suggesting some bearish momentum, though we’re not in deeply oversold territory just yet. The MACD line has dipped slightly below its signal line, but the histogram is basically flat, which hints at weak momentum and possible sideways movement in the near term. When we check the 4-hour moving averages, BB is trading below both the Simple Moving Average (around $0.0730) and the Exponential Moving Average (roughly $0.07263), which reinforces that short-term bearish feeling.
On the daily timeframe, pivot point analysis shows BB’s pivot sitting at approximately $0.06917. From there, resistance levels stack up at R1 near $0.07083, R2 around $0.07327, and R3 about $0.07493. On the downside, support levels are positioned at S1 around $0.06673, S2 near $0.06507, and S3 down at $0.06263. Since we’re currently trading just below that pivot point, these levels give us a pretty clear map of where price could head next—either breaking down to test supports or bouncing up to challenge resistances.
Key Zones & Market Sentiment
Market sentiment has been leaning bearish across most technical indicators lately. Many analyses are showing more sell signals than buy signals on daily and weekly charts. Some models are pointing toward BB potentially sliding down to the $0.053–$0.055 range over the next several weeks if the current pressure continues. We’re starting to see oversold conditions emerge, especially if price gets near or breaks through the S2 support around $0.065 or even S3 at $0.0626. On the flip side, for the bulls to regain control, BB needs to reclaim those resistance zones around $0.073–$0.075. A strong breakout above those levels would likely shift the short-term momentum back in an upward direction.
Price Forecasts: Short- to Medium-Term Scenarios
Bearish Base Case: If the impact from token unlocks continues and buying demand stays weak, BB could drift down toward that $0.053–$0.055 range within the next 1-4 weeks. The support around $0.0667 might not hold, and without a recovery back above the daily pivot at roughly $0.0692 or R1 around $0.0708, sellers could stay in control. It’ll be important to watch volume levels near support—heavy volume could signal capitulation, while light volume might suggest indifference. Based on current conditions and indicators, this bearish scenario seems more probable in the near term.
Moderate/Stabilization Case: There’s a chance BB consolidates between $0.0625 and $0.0730 if buyers start stepping in around those stronger support levels and selling pressure begins to dry up. The oversold readings we’re seeing in some oscillators could encourage accumulation near S2 or S3, while resistance at R1 and R2 would likely cap any rallies. If we can stabilize around or above $0.069, that might signal a possible bounce back toward resistance near $0.074.
Bullish Upside Case: For any real upside momentum to develop, BB needs a few things to go right: strong buying volume coming back in, favorable overall market conditions, or positive fundamental news like major institutional partnerships or favorable changes to tokenomics. If BB can push past roughly $0.073 and keep that momentum going, we could start looking at targets near $0.090-$0.100 over the next few months. Some longer-term forecasts are even suggesting average prices in late 2025 ranging from around $0.10 up to the $0.15-$0.20 range in truly bullish scenarios—assuming the ecosystem keeps growing and user adoption continues to increase.
Timeline Expectations
– 1-2 weeks: We’ll likely see consolidation around the current price area, with tests of support near $0.065–$0.0667.
– 3-4 weeks: There’s a real possibility of a dip toward $0.055 if resistance levels hold firm and selling pressure doesn’t let up.
– By end-of-2025: Whether BB can reclaim those resistance levels and leverage upcoming product launches—like tokenized assets, real-world asset integrations, and buybacks—will be crucial. In very optimistic scenarios, we could see a mid-term recovery to the $0.10–$0.12 range. More moderate expectations would put us hovering around $0.07–$0.09.
– Early 2026: If positive momentum builds and those fundamental improvements prove successful, the bullish case could push prices beyond $0.15. However, if weakness continues, we might see the support structure slip back toward $0.05–$0.06 levels.
