EthereumPoW (ETHW/USDT): What the Charts Are Really Telling Us

Right now, EthereumPoW is hovering around $0.3748, up about 0.85% in the last 24 hours. That slight bump might look encouraging at first glance, but zoom out a bit and the picture changes. ETHW is still trading well below both its 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, which tells us the bears are still in control. The Relative Strength Index is sitting at about 31.4—getting close to oversold territory but not quite there yet. Volatility is running high, with daily swings that can move 8–9% easily, so buckle up if you’re holding this one.

Beyond the technicals, the fundamentals aren’t doing ETHW any favors. Several major centralized exchanges have delisted the token recently, which dries up liquidity and makes it harder for the market to find a fair price. Institutional money has been wishy-washy, with ETF flows bouncing between inflows and outflows. Perhaps most concerning, the mining community seems to be abandoning ship—hashrate is dropping as miners move to other proof-of-work coins that offer better returns. That undermines one of the core reasons ETHW exists in the first place.

Key Levels and What the Indicators Are Saying

If you’re watching the charts, the zones that matter most right now are resistance around $0.60 to $0.65, with some weaker resistance near $0.91. These levels mark where sellers showed up in the past, and they’re likely to do so again. On the flip side, support is clustered around $0.50 to $0.51, with a stronger floor at $0.47–$0.48. If that $0.50 level gives way, Fibonacci analysis suggests we could see further downside.

The indicator suite paints a mixed but mostly cautious picture. The RSI at 31 hints that we might be due for a short-term bounce, but it’s not screaming “buy” just yet. The MACD is negative without a decisive crossover, and the ADX is elevated around 46, which means the downtrend—while strong—isn’t necessarily accelerating. Bollinger Bands show price hugging the lower band, which can act as temporary support during sharp selloffs, though it’s not a reversal signal on its own.

What the Chart Pattern Is Telling Us

The chart shows a pretty clear downtrend: lower highs, lower lows, and repeated failures to reclaim the 50-day moving average. There’s no bullish reversal pattern forming yet—no double bottoms, no convincing wedges, and no divergence between price and momentum indicators that would suggest the tide is turning. Any relief rally would need to come with strong volume to be taken seriously, and so far that’s missing.

Where ETHW Could Be Headed

Looking ahead over the next one to six months, here are three realistic scenarios based on what we’re seeing now:

If Things Get Worse

If the support zone around $0.47–$0.50 breaks—maybe because of another exchange delisting or more miners pulling out—we could easily see ETHW drop to $0.30–$0.35. In a worst-case scenario, if sentiment really sours, a drop to around $0.20 isn’t out of the question. The volatility alone could push price sharply lower before any stabilization kicks in.

If We Get a Holding Pattern

A more likely scenario in the near term is that ETHW just chops around between $0.45 and $0.65. We might see occasional pops on relief rallies, but resistance at $0.60 will likely cap those moves. The indicators stay oversold without flipping bullish, and traders treat $0.60 as a hard ceiling until something fundamental changes.

If the Bulls Come Back (Don’t Hold Your Breath)

For ETHW to actually reverse this downtrend, we’d need a real catalyst—think a major exchange relisting, a resurgence in mining activity, or fresh institutional interest through ETFs. If that happens, we could see a test of $0.60 resistance, and if that breaks, a move toward $0.80–$1.00 becomes possible. Getting beyond $1.00 would require sustained buying pressure and a genuine shift in market sentiment, which feels like a long shot right now.

Time Frames to Watch

Over the next one to three months, expect ETHW to test support around $0.45, with resistance holding firm at $0.60. Without major news, sideways trading is the most probable outcome.

Looking three to six months out, if things stabilize, the range might drift a bit higher, but the bearish risk remains real. In the bullish case, breaking $0.65 could open the door to $0.80.

Long term—say a year or more—ETHW could continue drifting lower or stay flat unless there’s a meaningful revival in its technology or ecosystem. In an optimistic scenario with renewed adoption and better miner incentives, there’s an outside chance of reaching $1.20–$1.50, but that would require several fundamental shifts that aren’t visible yet.

Risks, Potential Catalysts, and What to Keep an Eye On

Let’s be honest about the risks: ongoing exchange delistings, declining hashrate, minimal developer activity, inflationary tokenomics, and thin liquidity are all working against ETHW right now.

On the flip side, potential catalysts could include improved mining economics, new or restored exchange support, speculative interest from ETFs, or any news that repositions ETHW within the broader proof-of-work conversation.

If you’re tracking this coin, keep a close watch on hashrate trends, exchange listing updates, volume data, ETF flows, and key technical signals like the RSI and MACD for any turning points. A break above the 50-day EMA would be a meaningful shift, as would holding or bouncing off the lower Bollinger Band with conviction.

Related Post