Where Things Stand After November’s Rally
Lisk caught a lot of eyes in early November 2025 when it jumped more than 70% in a single day. The spike was fueled by heavy trading on Upbit and fresh excitement around the project’s migration to the OP Stack. For a coin that had been stuck in a long downtrend, it felt like a turning point—or at least, that’s what the price action suggested at the time.
But rallies like that don’t happen in a vacuum. The move triggered a wave of short liquidations and pushed open interest in Lisk derivatives to some of the highest levels we’ve seen. That tells us two things: first, traders are making big directional bets, and second, the setup is fragile. When leverage piles up like that, volatility can cut both ways—fast.
Right now, Lisk is trading around $0.208, up slightly over the last 24 hours. The question is whether that November momentum has any staying power, or if we’re just drifting sideways until the next catalyst.
Reading the Technical Picture
On the 4-hour chart, things are pretty balanced. The RSI is sitting at 50.58—right in the middle, not too hot, not too cold. The MACD is showing a little green, with the line above the signal and a positive histogram. That’s a mild bullish tilt, but nothing screaming “breakout imminent.”
Price is hugging both the 4-hour simple moving average (around $0.205) and the exponential moving average (near $0.208). When you see price dancing around these levels, it usually means the market is deciding what comes next. Break above, and buyers might take control. Break below, and sellers step in.
The daily pivot point is at $0.2083, which is almost exactly where we are now. Above that, resistance comes in around $0.214, then $0.219, and $0.225 if things really heat up. On the downside, support levels sit at $0.203, $0.197, and $0.192. These aren’t just arbitrary numbers—they’re zones where we’ve seen buying or selling pressure show up before.
What Happens If Bulls Win
If Lisk can push through $0.214 with decent volume, the path opens up toward $0.219 and possibly $0.225. That would require the MACD to stay positive and maybe even strengthen, plus we’d want to see the price hold above that 4-hour EMA. Any fresh news around the OP Stack migration or ecosystem growth could be the spark that gets it moving.
What Happens If Bears Take Over
On the flip side, if Lisk slips below $0.203 and can’t reclaim it, we’re probably headed toward $0.197. If that doesn’t hold, $0.192 is next. The MACD histogram is positive now, but it could flip quickly if sentiment sours. And with all that open interest floating around, a breakdown could get messy as stop-losses get hit and leveraged positions unwind.
The Bigger Picture and What to Watch
Short-term technicals lean cautiously optimistic, but there are real risks here. The spike in open interest means a lot of traders are betting on direction with borrowed money. That amplifies moves in both directions. If the broader crypto market hits turbulence—whether from macro uncertainty, regulatory noise, or just a rotation out of altcoins—Lisk won’t be immune.
For now, expect Lisk to trade somewhere between $0.195 and $0.22 unless something changes. A clean break above $0.214 could target $0.22 to $0.225 in the next few sessions. A drop below $0.202 and we’re likely looking at $0.19. Volume and follow-through will be key. Watch for 4-hour MACD crossovers, pivot breaks, and how price reacts at those support and resistance zones.
Until one of those thresholds gets decisively crossed, we’re range-bound. That’s not a bad thing—it just means the market is waiting for the next piece of information before making up its mind.
