Where Loopring Stands Today
Loopring (LRC) is trading around $0.04990 USDT right now, down about 1.8% in the last 24 hours. The past year has been pretty turbulent for this project. Back in early 2025, Loopring made some bold decisions that caught a lot of people off guard. They announced they’d be shutting down their core DeFi products—things like Dual Investment, ETH staking, Block Trade, and Portal—all by July 31, 2025. The reasoning? They wanted to get back to basics and focus purely on their Layer-2 network infrastructure.
Not everyone was thrilled about this. Users who had money locked up in those legacy DeFi positions felt a bit abandoned. On top of that, Loopring also pulled the plug on their native Smart Wallet by the end of June 2025. Essentially, they’re stepping away from the retail-facing wallet game to double down on protocol work and infrastructure.
From a market perspective, there was an interesting liquidity sweep around $0.05607 recently that looked like bigger players were accumulating. But once that level broke down, the bears came back out in force. Now we’re sitting at a bit of a crossroads.
What the Charts Are Telling Us
Let’s break down what the technical indicators are showing right now. The 4-hour RSI is sitting at approximately 34.10, which puts us in that oversold-ish territory. This usually means bearish momentum is in control, but it also hints that a bounce could happen if buyers decide to show up.
The MACD on the 4-hour chart is barely below the signal line—we’re talking MACD around −0.0010565 versus Signal at −0.0010610. The histogram is slightly positive but tiny, which suggests there’s a weak bullish divergence brewing. Nothing screaming “buy” yet, but it’s worth watching.
Looking at moving averages, the 4-hour SMA is around $0.05191 and the EMA sits near $0.05171. Current price is below both of them, which is a bearish sign in the short term. Daily pivot points put us right at the value area of $0.04980. Resistance levels stack up around $0.05020–$0.05040, while support zones line up at $0.04960, $0.04920, and $0.04900.
The daily Rate of Change indicator shows about −10.07%, pointing to some serious downward momentum over the past day. Not exactly encouraging if you’re hoping for a quick turnaround.
Three Possible Scenarios From Here
So what happens next? There are really three paths Loopring could take in the near term.
First scenario: bearish continuation. If LRC can’t push back above that $0.05020 resistance and the RSI stays stuck below 40, we’re probably headed toward those S2 or S3 support areas around $0.04920–$0.04900. Break cleanly below that, and we could be looking at $0.04850 or even $0.04800.
Second scenario: bullish reversal. If buyers step in with conviction and push price back above the daily pivot around $0.04980—and better yet, above those moving averages in the $0.05170–$0.05190 range—we could see a retest of resistance at $0.05040–$0.05080. For this to work, we’d need to see the MACD histogram really start building and RSI climbing back above 50. That would signal a real shift in momentum.
Third scenario: sideways chop. Honestly, this feels like the most likely outcome in the very short term. With such a tight range between current price and key support/pivot levels, we could easily just drift sideways between $0.04920 and $0.05080 while traders wait for some kind of catalyst—whether that’s a project announcement, a volume spike, or a broader move in the crypto market.
The Bigger Picture and What to Watch
Zooming out a bit, Loopring’s strategic decisions are a double-edged sword. Shutting down DeFi products and the Smart Wallet might reduce short-term utility and upset some users, but if they execute well on the infrastructure side, it could actually strengthen their Layer-2 value proposition over time. The question is whether they can pull it off and whether the market will reward that shift.
Some analyst models are pretty optimistic about the long term, projecting prices anywhere from $0.16 to $0.24 by the end of 2025 if conditions line up favorably and the development roadmap stays on track. Of course, the flip side is continued weakness that could push us toward $0.05 or lower, especially if network activity doesn’t pick up or if liquidity starts drying up.
Here’s what I’d be keeping an eye on if I were holding or considering a position:
- Network activity and transaction volume on Loopring’s Layer-2. Are people actually using it?
- Partnership announcements or integrations with other projects that might boost adoption.
- Macro trends around Ethereum gas fees and scalability solutions, plus how Loopring stacks up against competing zk-Rollup platforms.
- The broader crypto market mood. Low-priced tokens like LRC are especially sensitive to what Bitcoin and Ethereum are doing, and to overall liquidity conditions.
At $0.04990, Loopring is sitting at a pretty sensitive spot. A rebound is definitely possible, but it’s going to require breaking through resistance and overcoming some pretty weak sentiment. If that doesn’t happen, current levels could be vulnerable to further downside. If you’re thinking about entering, waiting for confirmation above the pivot with some stronger indicators might save you some pain. And if you’re already holding, it might make sense to protect yourself with a stop-loss below solid support—maybe around $0.04900.
Given that Loopring is in the middle of this big transition, technical signals are going to matter even more than usual for navigating what’s likely to be a bumpy ride ahead.
