What’s Behind the Sudden Price Jump
MultiBank Group’s MBG token is trading around $0.37 today after climbing more than 11% in the last 24 hours. It’s a welcome bounce for holders who’ve watched the token slide 30-35% over the past month. The sharp drop followed a major token unlock on January 22nd that released roughly 24.7 million MBG—about 12% of the circulating supply—worth nearly $10 million at the time.
That flood of new tokens hit the market hard, but technical indicators suggest MBG had been oversold. The Relative Strength Index dipped below 30, a level that often signals a price is due for a rebound. Combined with some stabilization in broader crypto markets and ongoing developments from MultiBank itself, the token found enough support to push higher.
MultiBank has been working to offset supply pressure through a $440 million buyback and burn program. They’ve already eliminated about 4.86 million tokens since August 2025, which helps tighten supply over time. The company is also pushing deeper into real-world asset tokenization—starting with $3 billion and targeting $10 billion—alongside building out institutional infrastructure like the MEX Exchange and their Smart Chain platform.
Reading the Charts and What Comes Next
From a technical standpoint, MBG is showing signs of life but isn’t out of the woods yet. The token recently broke above its 7-day moving average around $0.32, which is a positive short-term signal. However, it’s still trading well below the 30-day moving average near $0.42-0.43, meaning the broader trend remains cautious.
Resistance is sitting right around that 30-day average at $0.42, which also lines up with key Fibonacci retracement levels. If MBG can push through and hold above that zone, it would suggest the recent momentum has real legs. On the downside, support appears solid near $0.30, with immediate cushion around $0.32-0.34. A break below $0.30 could trigger another leg down, especially if more tokens get unlocked without enough buying interest to absorb them.
The MACD histogram recently turned negative, though there are early hints it might be flattening out. That could mean selling pressure is easing, but traders will want to see volume pick up and price action confirm before getting too confident.
Short-Term Outlook
Over the next few weeks, if momentum holds, MBG could test resistance around $0.42-0.45. Getting there depends on sustained trading volume and the market digesting leftover supply from the recent unlock. If that resistance proves too tough to crack, expect consolidation between $0.30 and $0.40 with occasional volatility spikes tied to news or upcoming unlock schedules.
Looking Further Ahead
Price forecast models for 2026 suggest MBG could average between $0.66 and $0.75 if the ecosystem continues expanding and the buyback program gains traction. In a more optimistic scenario where real-world asset adoption accelerates and staking incentives attract more holders, the token could approach $0.87. But that’s contingent on several things going right: successful execution of the burn program, visible progress in RWA tokenization, broader exchange listings, and regulatory approvals that boost credibility and liquidity.
Risks and Key Factors to Monitor
Two main risks loom large. First is supply risk—more token unlocks are scheduled, and if those hit the market without corresponding demand from burns or staking lockups, prices could get hammered again. Second is sentiment and macro risk. Regulatory uncertainty, slower-than-expected adoption of tokenized assets, or broader crypto market weakness could all weigh heavily on MBG.
On the flip side, there are clear catalysts that could drive the token higher. Aggressive execution of the buyback and burn program would tighten supply meaningfully. Real revenue and adoption metrics from the RWA tokenization initiative would validate the project’s thesis. Expanded regulatory licensing and major exchange listings would improve liquidity and attract institutional interest. Any combination of these could shift sentiment quickly.
Bottom line: MBG’s path forward is volatile. The current bounce off oversold levels is encouraging, and a test of $0.42-0.45 seems plausible in the near term. But until the token closes convincingly above its 30-day moving average and supply pressure eases, the risk stays elevated. For investors, this might be a situation where smaller positions make sense—or waiting for a confirmed breakout above key resistance. The long-term story around regulated real-world assets and ecosystem growth is compelling, but near-term patience and close attention to unlock schedules are essential.
