The Nervos Network (CKB) is trading around $0.001655 right now, down roughly 0.83% over the past day. It’s been a quiet period for the token, but there’s actually quite a bit happening beneath the surface that could influence where price heads next.
On the positive side, Nervos recently rolled out quantum-resistant cryptographic support using SPHINCS+ and launched the “Quantum Purse” desktop wallet—both moves aimed at beefing up long-term security. The community also voted to integrate with the Rosen Bridge protocol, which should improve interoperability with other blockchains. And there’s a DAO 1.1 upgrade expected around mid-February 2026 that promises new governance features. These are solid fundamental developments, especially in an industry that’s constantly evolving.
But the reality is that CKB is facing headwinds too. Trading volume has dropped significantly, which means there’s less liquidity sloshing around. When volume dries up like this, prices can swing more violently on smaller trades. And like most altcoins, CKB moves pretty closely with Bitcoin—so if broader market conditions stay shaky, that’s going to weigh on sentiment here too.
What the Charts Are Telling Us
Looking at the 4-hour chart, the technical picture is honestly a bit mixed, leaning slightly bearish in the near term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sitting around 45.36, which puts it right in neutral territory—not oversold, not overbought. That means momentum could go either way depending on what happens next.
The MACD indicator is more concerning. It’s in negative territory with the MACD line below the signal line and a slightly negative histogram. That’s generally a bearish signal, suggesting downward pressure is building. Price is also trading below both the Simple Moving Average (around $0.0016804) and the Exponential Moving Average (around $0.0016778) on the 4-hour timeframe, which backs up the idea that recent momentum has been to the downside.
When we look at pivot points based on daily levels, the current pivot sits at roughly $0.001659. Above that, resistance levels are stacked at $0.001678 (R1), $0.001701 (R2), and $0.00172 (R3). Below, support levels come in at $0.001636 (S1), $0.001617 (S2), and $0.001594 (S3). The rate of change (ROC) is sharply negative at around –5.75%, which tells us the recent selling has been pretty aggressive. These levels will be important to watch for potential bounces or breakdowns.
Where Price Could Go From Here
If the Selling Continues
If CKB can’t hold above that daily pivot around $0.001659, things could get uncomfortable for bulls pretty quickly. A drop below the first support at $0.001636 would likely open the door to $0.001617, and if that breaks, we’d be looking at $0.001594 as the next meaningful floor. Given the negative MACD crossover, price sitting below the moving averages, and weak momentum, a move toward $0.00150 over the next few sessions wouldn’t be surprising. If broader crypto sentiment stays sour and Bitcoin continues to struggle, a dip toward $0.00140 is also on the table, especially with liquidity as thin as it is right now.
If Buyers Step In
A bullish reversal would need some real conviction behind it. That means holding support at or above $0.001659 and seeing volume pick up noticeably. If that happens, the first targets would be resistance at $0.001678 and $0.001701. To push higher from there, we’d need the MACD histogram to flip positive and the RSI to climb above 55 or 60. If momentum really starts building, CKB could make a run at $0.00172 and possibly even challenge the $0.00180 psychological level. But that’s a more optimistic scenario that would require both internal strength and a friendlier macro environment.
Things to Keep an Eye On
There are a few risk factors worth considering if you’re thinking about trading CKB right now. First, that low liquidity situation is a double-edged sword—it means price can move fast in either direction on relatively small volume. Second, CKB is still very much tied to Bitcoin’s performance. If macro conditions push BTC lower, altcoins like CKB tend to get hit even harder. Third, while the quantum-resistant features and governance upgrades sound promising, they’ll only matter if they translate into real adoption and usage. Right now, it’s all potential—actual results will take time to materialize.
And finally, sentiment in crypto is pretty fragile at the moment. Fear and uncertainty are dominating the market. Relief rallies can happen, but they tend to be short-lived unless there’s a clear fundamental catalyst or broader market stabilization.
Practical Trade Ideas
For short-term traders looking to go long, a safer entry would be near strong support between $0.001594 and $0.001617, with stops placed just below. First profit targets would be around $0.001678 to $0.00170, with room to extend higher if momentum improves. For those expecting more downside, a break-and-retest strategy around the pivot or first resistance at $0.001678 could work, targeting support levels and potentially $0.00150 if the breakdown accelerates.
Bottom line: CKB has some interesting developments on the horizon, but the technical setup right now is cautious at best. Trade carefully, watch those key levels, and don’t ignore what Bitcoin is doing.
