NVDAX/USDT Technical Forecast: What to Expect from Tokenized NVIDIA Stock

What’s Happening with NVDAX Right Now
NVDAX represents tokenized NVIDIA stock—essentially blockchain-wrapped shares backed by real NVIDIA equity held in regulated custody. It trades around the clock against USDT, giving crypto traders 24/7 access to one of the hottest names in AI and semiconductors without touching traditional markets.

The token has caught attention lately, partly because of shifting exchange support. BitMart recently joined the xStocks alliance, while KuCoin delisted it earlier. These moves have reshaped where liquidity sits and introduced new questions about regulatory stability. Right now, NVDAX is hovering between $187 and $190 on most platforms. It’s down about 1% in the last day, but up modestly over the past week and month. Still, technical signals are flashing caution—several indicators suggest the token is overbought, and some short-term holders are taking profits.

The Technicals: Support, Resistance, and What’s Next
As of the latest data, NVDAX is trading around $177.36, down roughly 1% in 24 hours. The picture isn’t pretty for bulls right now. All the major moving averages—5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 50-day—are sitting above the current price, which means downward pressure is real. The 14-day RSI is hovering around 45, signaling weak momentum without any clear oversold bounce in sight. The MACD is negative, and other oscillators like Stochastic, CCI, and Williams %R are all leaning bearish. Volatility is elevated too, so sharp moves in either direction are on the table.

Here’s where things get interesting. Support starts around $186 to $189—that’s roughly the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing. If price slips below that zone, expect a test of stronger support between $170 and $175. On the upside, resistance sits near $190 to $192. If buyers can push through that ceiling, there’s potential for a run toward $196 to $200.

The Bull and Bear Cases
If NVDAX holds above $186, we could see a bounce back toward $190 to $192. A clean break above $192 might open the door to $200 or higher, especially if NVIDIA reports strong earnings, signs major AI infrastructure deals, or the broader crypto market catches a bid.

On the flip side, if the token fails to reclaim $190 and drops below $185, selling pressure could accelerate toward $175 or lower. External shocks—tighter regulation, weak macro data, or a general risk-off mood in crypto—could make things worse fast.

Looking Three to Six Months Out
Over the next quarter or two, NVDAX will likely move in lockstep with NVIDIA’s corporate performance and broader sentiment around AI and tech. If the AI boom stays hot, revenue growth continues, and tokenized assets don’t face major regulatory crackdowns, NVDAX could break past its all-time highs around $210 to $215 and trend toward $220 to $230 under strong momentum. But if macro headwinds pick up or regulators tighten the screws, medium-term support around $160 to $170 becomes critical. Keep a close eye on momentum indicators around earnings—those releases tend to be tipping points.

Bottom line: the technicals don’t favor aggressive long entries right now. A drop below $185 should set off alarm bells, while a reclaim above $190 could bring momentum traders back into the fold. Either way, tight risk management is essential—anchor your stop losses around key support levels and those 20-to-50 day moving averages. Don’t get caught without a plan.

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