Market Context and Recent Developments
The past few weeks have brought some interesting developments for Oasis Network. Most notably, the SEC wrapped up its investigation into Ondo Finance’s tokenized assets on December 9th—a positive sign since Oasis had acquired Ondo’s Oasis Pro platform. This kind of regulatory green light tends to make institutional players more comfortable stepping in.
Around the same time, we saw new DeFi protocols like SemiLiquid’s Programmable Credit Protocol launching on compliant, collateral-backed frameworks that involve ROSE. There’s also growing chatter among swing traders about a potential breakout zone forming near the $0.0135 level. While these news items add a cautiously optimistic flavor to the story, the technicals are really what’s driving price action day-to-day right now.
Current Price Action and What the Indicators Say
As of now, ROSE is trading at $0.01258—down about 4% over the last 24 hours. Looking at daily pivot points, we’ve got the main pivot sitting at $0.01260, with resistance levels stacking up at $0.01303, $0.01346, and $0.01389. On the downside, support shows up at $0.01217, then $0.01174, and finally $0.01131 if things get rougher. The fact that price is hovering just under that pivot suggests sellers still have a slight edge.
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, ROSE is trading beneath both its Simple and Exponential Moving Averages—around $0.01309 and $0.01304 respectively. The RSI is sitting at roughly 41, which means it’s neither oversold nor overbought, just leaning a bit weak. The MACD is below its signal line with a small negative histogram reading, pointing to bearish momentum that doesn’t feel particularly aggressive yet—more like a slow bleed than a panic sell-off.
Key Levels to Watch
The zone between $0.01303 and $0.01309 is your first wall of resistance—this lines up nicely with those 4-hour moving averages and the daily pivot resistance. If ROSE can punch through $0.01310 with some decent volume backing it, we could see a move toward $0.01345–$0.01385 fairly quickly.
On the flip side, $0.01217 is your immediate support floor. If that breaks and volume picks up on the sell side, expect a test of $0.01174 or even lower toward the $0.01131 area. Those deeper support zones become critical if the selling pressure intensifies.
Two Paths Forward
If Bulls Take Control
Should ROSE manage to climb above $0.01310 and actually stay there—particularly above those 4-hour moving averages—we might be looking at a reversal. In that scenario, targets would be $0.01345 to $0.01385 initially. Break above that upper range with conviction, and suddenly $0.01450 or even $0.01550 comes into play. The regulatory clarity and institutional angle could provide the spark needed for this kind of move, especially if broader market sentiment improves.
If Bears Stay in Charge
But if ROSE can’t reclaim that $0.01310 level—especially if the RSI starts sliding toward 30 and the MACD keeps diverging downward—then $0.01217 becomes the next battleground. Lose that, and we’re probably headed to $0.01170 or lower into those deeper support zones. Right now, the technical picture leans more toward respecting these downside risks than expecting a sudden bounce.
How to Play It
For short-term traders, patience might be your best friend here. Wait for a solid close above resistance with volume, or a convincing bounce off support before jumping in. If you’re already holding and feeling nervous, consider trimming some exposure if we break below key support levels—no shame in managing risk.
Long-term believers in Oasis Network’s privacy tech, AI integration, and tokenization story might see the $0.01170–$0.01220 range as a decent accumulation zone, assuming your risk tolerance allows for some near-term volatility. The fundamentals around regulatory clarity and institutional adoption are definitely supportive, but without broader market strength pushing things along, you still need to watch out for technical breakdowns that could shake out weaker hands.
