Plume (PLUME/USDT): A Technical and Fundamental Look at What’s Next

Why Plume Has Been Making Headlines

Plume Network has had quite a run lately, especially after getting the green light from the SEC in early October 2025 as a registered transfer agent. That’s a big deal—it means Plume can now officially handle digital securities and shareholder records on-chain, making it one of the few crypto projects with real regulatory infrastructure backing it up. The news sent trading volume up by about 186% and pushed the token price up roughly 25% in short order.

This wasn’t just a flash in the pan, either. Shortly after, WisdomTree rolled out 14 tokenized funds on Plume’s network. Galaxy Digital threw $10 million behind one of those funds, and Securitize started tying institutional-grade assets into Plume’s Nest staking protocol. These aren’t just hype moves—they’re real integrations that bring actual utility and demand to the token over time.

But there’s a catch. Around 80% of PLUME’s total supply is still locked up, with vesting schedules set to release big chunks of tokens throughout 2026. That means early backers and insiders could dump supply onto the market, which puts downward pressure on price if demand doesn’t keep up. It’s a classic tokenomics risk that crypto investors know all too well.

What the Charts Are Saying Right Now

As of this writing, PLUME is trading around $0.01719 USDT, down about 1.55% over the past day. The short-term picture isn’t exactly bullish. On the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sitting at roughly 38.8—getting close to oversold territory but not quite showing signs of a bounce yet.

The MACD tells a similar story. The histogram is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line at around −0.0001295. That’s a bearish momentum signal. Both the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are hovering above the current price—around $0.01819 and $0.01784, respectively—acting as resistance levels that could cap any near-term rally attempts.

Looking at daily pivot points, the first resistance sits near $0.01775, with R2 around $0.01832 and R3 at $0.01869. On the flip side, support levels are at approximately $0.01681 (S1), $0.01644 (S2), and $0.01587 (S3). If the price breaks below S2 or S3, things could get ugly fast.

Where PLUME Could Go From Here

The Optimistic Case

If the stars align—meaning institutional demand for tokenized securities picks up steam and Plume’s regulatory edge continues to attract serious capital—we could see the token stabilize somewhere between $0.020 and $0.025 in the near term. Should the Nest protocol pull in meaningful staking capital and the supply unlocks are managed carefully, there’s a path to $0.030 or higher. But that’s contingent on the real-world asset (RWA) sector growing and Plume maintaining its momentum with new product launches and partnerships.

The Bearish Scenario

On the other hand, if those token unlocks hit the market without enough buying pressure to absorb them, we could see PLUME slide toward the S3 support level around $0.0159, or even retest lows near $0.013–$0.014. The overhead resistance at $0.0178–$0.0182 is currently blocking any recovery attempts, and with bearish momentum indicators in play, a breakdown below pivot supports could trigger a sharper sell-off.

What Traders and Investors Should Watch

For short-term traders, keep an eye on resistance around $0.018 and support zones near $0.0165–$0.0159. If the price bounces off support with solid volume and bullish signals—like an RSI uptick or a MACD crossover—that could be your entry. But don’t jump in blindly; wait for confirmation.

For those thinking long-term, the fundamentals look solid. Regulatory approval and institutional backing are rare in crypto, and Plume has both. That said, the looming token unlocks are a real concern. Keep tabs on vesting schedules and market sentiment around those dates. If managed well, Plume could be a sleeper hit in the RWA space. If not, it could get messy before it gets better.

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