Where Things Stand Right Now
Pocket Network’s token (POKT) is currently trading around $0.01549 against Tether, down roughly 6.35% over the past day. During recent sessions, the price swung between a high near $0.01660 and a low around $0.01537—indicating the kind of volatility that keeps day traders on their toes and long-term holders wondering what’s next.
From a technical standpoint, most indicators are flashing caution signs. Moving averages across the 50- to 200-day windows are acting as resistance, making it tough for the price to climb. The MACD oscillator isn’t showing much momentum either way, and the 14-day RSI is sitting in the mid-40s—not oversold, but definitely not signaling strong buying interest. In other words, the market is tepid, not enthusiastic.
But there’s more to the story than just charts and candlesticks. Behind the scenes, Pocket Network has rolled out some significant upgrades that could reshape its tokenomics and long-term trajectory. The Shannon upgrade transformed Pocket into a permissionless API coordination layer, opening the door for decentralized data services. More importantly, PIP-41 introduced a deflationary mechanic: now, only 97.5% of relay fee burns are re-minted, meaning about 2.5% of POKT is permanently removed with each transaction. This creates long-term scarcity—a potentially bullish factor if demand picks up. The v1.31 upgrade, which went live in early February 2026, cemented these changes at the consensus level.
What the Technical Indicators Are Telling Us
CoinLore’s daily technicals currently rate POKT as a “sell.” The price remains stuck below the 200-period exponential moving average, though it has briefly poked above the 50-period EMA, hinting at a recovery effort that hasn’t quite caught fire. The RSI hovers around 57—neutral territory, neither screaming “overbought” nor “oversold.” The MACD? Still waiting for a clear bullish crossover.
Volatility is another factor worth noting. Pocket’s Average True Range (ATR) sits at about 16.5% of the current price, meaning big swings—up or down—are very much on the table. Key support levels cluster around $0.01470 to $0.01556, while resistance looms between $0.01800 and $0.01910, right around the 200-day simple moving average. Fibonacci retracement levels from recent highs and lows place critical zones at $0.0169 (50% retrace) and $0.0150 (61.8% retrace)—both of which could serve as battlegrounds in the coming weeks.
Price Forecasts and What Could Move the Needle
The Next Few Weeks
In the near term, expect POKT to hover or drift slightly lower, likely consolidating between $0.0145 and $0.0155 unless buyers show up in force. If momentum picks up and price breaks above the $0.0160–$0.0170 zone (around the 50-day SMA), there’s room for a short-term bounce toward $0.0182 or even $0.0191. On the flip side, a break below $0.0145 could send the price down to test support around $0.0138, or worse, $0.0125. Some technical forecasters are eyeing a modest decline, projecting around $0.01599 by mid-March 2026 if current sentiment holds.
Three to Twelve Months Out
Looking further ahead, the deflationary tokenomics introduced by PIP-41 could start to matter—a lot. If usage grows, especially as Shannon’s infrastructure attracts more open API and data service demand, the supply crunch could drive prices higher. But first, POKT needs to convincingly break and hold above the 200-day SMA (around $0.019–$0.020). Without that, the trend stays neutral at best. If broader crypto markets weaken, or if adoption falls short, POKT could slide back below $0.0100.
What to Watch
Key catalysts on the bullish side include rising demand for RPC and API services—particularly from AI and Web3 workflows—successful decentralization of node infrastructure, and better liquidity or exchange listings. On the risk side, weak relay usage (which limits the burn mechanism), unfavorable macro conditions, or failure to break resistance could all weigh on price. Keep an eye on volume spikes, exchange activity, and how moving averages behave relative to price action. Those will be your early warning signals.
