The Tokenomics Overhaul That Changes Everything
Before we get into chart patterns and indicator readings, you need to understand what just happened with Pocket Network. In mid-January 2025, the protocol activated its Shannon upgrade—a complete redesign of how POKT tokens work. The centerpiece? A governance proposal called PIP-41 that passed without a single opposing vote.
Here’s what changed: Previously, when tokens were burned to pay for network relays, 100% of them came back into circulation through minting. Now, only 97.5% get reminted. That other 2.5%? Gone forever. It might sound small, but it creates permanent deflationary pressure that grows as network usage increases. For a project that’s battled inflation concerns for years, this is a big deal.
The Shannon upgrade did more than adjust token math. It migrated Pocket to a Cosmos-SDK chain, opened up data APIs, and positioned the network as infrastructure not just for crypto but for AI applications. They’ve also started building compliance bridges with partners like AnChain.AI, aiming to make decentralized infrastructure palatable to enterprises and regulators. In other words, POKT is trying to grow up and go mainstream.
What the Technical Indicators Are Telling Us
At around $0.0161 USDT, POKT is stuck in what traders call consolidation—basically going sideways without strong conviction in either direction. The technical picture is honestly mixed, which makes this interesting but also a bit frustrating if you’re looking for a clear signal.
Moving averages across most timeframes—the 10-day, 20-day, 50-day, all the way up to 200-day—are sitting above the current price, creating a ceiling of resistance between $0.0163 and $0.0174. When price is below most moving averages like this, traditional technical analysis leans bearish. Major aggregators are flashing “Strong Sell” based on this setup.
But here’s where it gets nuanced. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is sitting in the low 40s—not oversold, not overbought, just kind of blah. It suggests neither panic selling nor buying enthusiasm. Meanwhile, oscillators like Stochastic and Williams %R are creeping into oversold territory, which can sometimes precede a bounce. The MACD, though, isn’t confirming any bullish reversal yet—it’s still leaning negative with a flat or slightly down histogram.
The ADX, which measures trend strength, hovers around 25-30. That means there is a trend, but it’s weak. Volatility is low too, as shown by the ATR readings. Translation: Unless something changes—news, volume, broader market momentum—POKT is likely to keep drifting in its current range.
Support and Resistance Zones
On the downside, immediate support is forming around $0.0155, with stronger support at $0.0150. If those levels break, the next stop is likely $0.0140 to $0.0135, where things could get uncomfortable for bulls.
On the upside, resistance clusters between $0.0170 and $0.0180. Breaking through that would be meaningful, especially if accompanied by volume. Beyond that, $0.0200 becomes the psychological and technical hurdle that could open up more room to run.
Price Scenarios for the Next Month or Two
So where does POKT go from here? Let’s break it down into three scenarios based on what we’re seeing now.
The most likely outcome is a continuation of the current pattern: sideways movement between $0.0150 and $0.0180. Without a catalyst—like a major exchange listing, a surge in relay usage, or broader crypto market strength—there’s not much fuel for a breakout. Volume is tepid, and the technical indicators aren’t screaming “buy” or “sell.” This is accumulation territory, where patient investors position themselves while everyone else watches and waits.
The bullish case kicks in if POKT can hold above that moving average cluster around $0.0163 to $0.0167 and start building volume. If that happens, a test of $0.0180 becomes realistic, and a break above that could push toward $0.0200 or even $0.0220. The fundamental case supports this—the deflationary burn is real, the protocol upgrades are live, and if network usage picks up, the math works in favor of price appreciation. But it needs a spark.
The bearish scenario is less about POKT itself and more about context. If the broader crypto market turns south, or if POKT’s relay usage doesn’t materialize fast enough to offset selling pressure, we could see a drop below $0.0155. From there, $0.0140 to $0.0135 becomes the next landing zone. It’s not a collapse scenario, but it would shake out weaker hands and test whether the long-term thesis still holds.
Final Thoughts
POKT is in an interesting spot. The fundamentals have improved dramatically with the Shannon upgrade and deflationary tokenomics. The protocol is positioning itself for Web3 and AI infrastructure, which could be huge if adoption follows. But the technicals are telling a more cautious story—sideways action, weak momentum, and resistance overhead.
For traders, this isn’t a momentum play right now. It’s a patience play. For investors who believe in the long-term utility of decentralized RPC and data infrastructure, current levels might look like an opportunity to accumulate before the market catches up to the fundamentals. Just don’t expect fireworks in the next few weeks unless something changes the game.
