Recent Developments and What’s Driving Activity
Qubic has seen a notable uptick in trading volume over the past 24 hours—roughly 14.6% higher than usual—thanks largely to a broader rebound across the altcoin market and some genuine progress on the project front. The standout news from late last year includes the rollout of a native bridge to Solana in November, which lets users move assets between chains without the hassle of wrapped tokens. Then in December, the team pushed out meaningful upgrades to the core protocol: faster tick speeds and improved API and RPC infrastructure. These tweaks matter because they boost network throughput and make life easier for developers building on Qubic.
On the tokenomics side, Qubic’s burn mechanism—called QCAP—has torched around 37 billion tokens so far, while staking and lockup programs like Qearn are steadily pulling more supply off the market. That sounds promising on paper, but here’s the catch: circulating supply still sits north of 130 trillion tokens, with a maximum cap of 200 trillion. Unless demand picks up in a big way, that massive supply will keep weighing on price.
What the Charts Are Saying
Most technical platforms are flashing bearish signals for QUBIC across daily timeframes. The Relative Strength Index sits somewhere between 25 and 35—deep in oversold territory—and every major moving average, from the 50-day all the way out to the 200-day, is trading well above current price. That’s textbook downtrend behavior. At the same time, volatility has spiked. The Average True Range is expanding, which tells us big moves could be brewing in either direction.
Meanwhile, oscillators like Stochastic, Williams %R, and the Commodity Channel Index are all screaming oversold. That suggests the selling pressure might be running out of steam in the short term, but the confirmation signals aren’t there yet. There’s no bullish MACD crossover, and price still hasn’t managed to close above any of those key moving averages. On the chart, resistance is forming near $6.8 × 10⁻⁷—that was the November swing high. Support is hovering around $5.5 to $6.0 × 10⁻⁷, where recent lows have been tested.
Key Levels and Indicators to Watch
Resistance sits around $6.8 × 10⁻⁷ and acts as a ceiling unless bulls show up with real conviction. Support is clustered between $5.5 and $6.0 × 10⁻⁷—if that floor breaks, things could get messy fast. All the major moving averages remain well above price, which means the trend is still firmly down. The MACD is sitting neutral to slightly bearish and needs a proper bullish crossover to signal any meaningful reversal. RSI and other oscillators are oversold, hinting at the possibility of a bounce, but without volume backing it up, any rally is likely to fizzle.
Where Price Could Go From Here
Looking at the current setup, there are two realistic paths forward. The first is the bearish baseline scenario. If QUBIC can’t break above that $6.8 × 10⁻⁷ resistance, we’re probably headed back down to test support around $5.5 × 10⁻⁷. If that level gives way, selling could accelerate and push price toward $5.0 × 10⁻⁷ or lower, especially if the broader altcoin market stays weak.
The second scenario is a moderate bullish reversal. This would need a strong catalyst—think a major exchange listing, a surge in buying volume, or fresh partnership news. If that happens and price clears the $6.8 × 10⁻⁷ resistance zone, the next target would be around $7.9 × 10⁻⁷, which lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. If momentum really picks up and volume follows, there’s room to climb even higher from there.
As for the longer-term picture, it really comes down to whether the ecosystem can grow fast enough and whether the burn and lock mechanisms can make a meaningful dent in that enormous circulating supply. If those pieces fall into place, QUBIC could claw back a decent chunk of its losses. But expecting a full recovery to the all-time high of $0.00001244 anytime in the next 12 to 18 months? That’s a stretch unless something changes dramatically on the demand side.
