Security Concerns Meet Ongoing Growth
Trust Wallet users got a wake-up call in late December when hackers exploited the Chrome extension, draining over $7 million from wallets. The team moved quickly to patch the vulnerability, with Binance’s co-founder publicly acknowledging the issue. While this kind of security scare typically rattles investor confidence in the short term, Trust Wallet’s core business remains solid.
The platform keeps adding features that matter to users—things like Trust Premium and FlexGas—and the wallet itself has a loyal, growing user base. Remember when CZ gave Trust Wallet a shoutout back in September? The token jumped 50-60% almost overnight. That tells you something important: TWT responds strongly to positive sentiment and real-world utility gains. The question now is whether the recent security stumble will erase those gains or simply create a buying opportunity.
What the Technical Indicators Are Telling Us
Right now, TWT is trading at about $0.85, up just under 1% in the last 24 hours. The four-hour chart shows an RSI hovering around 44—not oversold, not overbought, just kind of neutral with a slight lean toward weakness. The MACD histogram shows a tiny positive blip, but the MACD line itself is still below the signal line. Translation: there’s a hint of bullish momentum trying to emerge, but it’s tentative at best.
Both the simple and exponential moving averages sit just above current price at roughly $0.86. That’s your first ceiling. Until TWT breaks cleanly above that level, buyers don’t have much room to run. Daily pivot analysis gives us a clearer picture of the near-term battlefield. The pivot point sits at $0.8486—think of it as neutral ground. Above that, you’ve got resistance at $0.8536, then $0.8563, and $0.8613. Below, support shows up at $0.8459, $0.8409, and $0.8382.
Short-Term Outlook
Over the next few days to weeks, watch that $0.86 resistance. If TWT can push through and hold above it, there’s a decent shot at testing $0.90. But if it slips below the pivot around $0.8486 and can’t reclaim it, expect a drift down toward $0.84 or even $0.838. The momentum indicators right now don’t scream “buy” or “sell”—they’re whispering “wait and see.”
Looking Further Ahead
Medium to long-term forecasts paint a cautiously optimistic picture. Several analysis platforms see TWT ending 2026 somewhere between $0.90 and $0.97—that’s roughly 10-15% upside from here if things go reasonably well. Push into 2027, and estimates climb toward $1.25 to $1.30, assuming the wallet keeps adding useful features and the broader crypto market cooperates.
More aggressive predictions throw out numbers like $2 to $3 by late 2026 or 2027, but those scenarios require a lot of things going right: strong adoption, regulatory clarity, and a bull market tide lifting all boats. Those aren’t base-case scenarios—they’re best-case dreams.
The Wild Cards That Could Change Everything
TWT’s path forward depends on more than just chart patterns. The positives are real: continued product innovation, potential partnerships, and growing wallet adoption all support higher prices over time. The risks are equally real: another security breach would be devastating, regulatory crackdowns could limit growth, and macro shocks like a broader crypto sell-off would drag TWT down regardless of its fundamentals.
The current setup doesn’t suggest an imminent breakout, but it doesn’t point to a collapse either. For traders, the play is watching that $0.86 resistance zone closely and looking for confirmation—a MACD crossover, RSI climbing above 50, volume supporting the move. For longer-term holders, the story hinges on whether Trust Wallet can keep building useful features and earning user trust after the recent security scare.
Bottom line: TWT is in a holding pattern right now, with modest upside potential over the next several months if the team executes well and crypto sentiment stays positive. Stay alert, watch the key levels, and remember that in crypto, news moves prices faster than technicals ever will.
