What’s Been Driving the Recent Pressure
ZORA token holders have had a rough few weeks, and it’s not hard to see why. Two big issues are weighing on sentiment right now: a massive token unlock and some serious cracks showing in the “creator coin” narrative that ZORA has been betting on.
Back on December 29, 2025, roughly 166.67 million ZORA tokens hit the market—worth about $7 million at the time. That’s a lot of fresh supply flooding in all at once, and traders naturally started worrying about dilution and sell pressure. Around the same moment, one of the ecosystem’s creator tokens, “$thenickshirley”, absolutely cratered—down about 80% in under two days. That kind of collapse raises uncomfortable questions about whether these speculative content coins have any staying power at all.
It’s not all doom and gloom, though. ZORA has some genuine positives working in its favor. The token benefits from solid ecosystem partnerships and strategic integrations, particularly its presence on Coinbase’s Base network and its listing on EU exchanges under the new MiCAR regulations. Those moves have definitely helped with liquidity and brought in some institutional eyeballs. The question is whether any of that can actually counterbalance the weight of all those newly unlocked tokens without clearer utility or adoption picking up steam.
Reading the Charts: Support, Resistance, and Momentum
As of the latest snapshot, ZORA is trading around $0.04297 USD against USDT, down roughly 3.16% over the past 24 hours. The technical picture? It’s cautious at best.
RSI readings are sitting in neutral territory—somewhere between 37 and 45—so we’re not seeing extreme oversold or overbought conditions. The 50-day simple moving average is hovering above the current price at around $0.048 to $0.049, which means it’s acting as a ceiling right now. Longer-term averages like the 200-day SMA are also elevated or trending down, pointing to ongoing downward pressure unless price can push through and hold higher.
On the support side, the technical pivots suggest key zones around $0.037 to $0.034, with stronger backing near $0.03270. For resistance, you’re looking at a cluster between $0.0432 and $0.0505. Immediate resistance sits just above current levels near $0.045. If ZORA can crack through $0.045 and actually stay above it, there’s a shot at testing $0.050. But if it slips below $0.037, the next stop could be down near $0.032.
Sentiment indicators are leaning bearish across the board. MACD, momentum oscillators, and most moving averages are either pointing down or stuck in neutral. There are a couple of short-term indicators—like VWMA and Hull MA—hinting at possible buying interest, but they’re pretty weak compared to the broader downtrend. Volume has also been dropping off, which lines up with the recent negative news and the unlock activity sucking enthusiasm out of the room.
Where ZORA Could Be Headed
Short-Term: The Next Few Weeks
If the bearish factors keep dominating—think ongoing token unlocks and continued disappointment with creator tokens—the most likely path is a slide down toward the $0.032 to $0.035 range. That intermediate support near $0.037 might hold for a bit, but if it breaks, momentum could accelerate downward pretty quickly. For things to turn around, ZORA would need to reclaim resistance near $0.045 with solid volume backing it up. Without that kind of conviction, expect more consolidation or a gentle drift lower.
Medium to Long-Term: Looking Three to Twelve Months Out
The longer view splits into two pretty different scenarios. In the bullish case—where fundamentals improve, creator adoption picks up, and the token supply pressure gets under control—ZORA could climb toward $0.08 to $0.12 by late 2026 or early 2027. Some of the more optimistic speculative models even target above $0.15 if everything goes right.
On the flip side, if the current negatives stick around—more unlock waves, weak utility, and continued creator coin failures—you’re probably looking at trading ranges between $0.03 and $0.04 for most of 2026. A lot will depend on whether ZORA can break resistance convincingly and whether that support zone near $0.032 to $0.035 actually holds when tested.
What This Means for Traders and Investors
If you’re trading short-term, the setup right now favors caution or even bearish positioning. Watch for breakdowns below $0.037 and keep your stop-losses tight. For longer-term investors with more patience, the $0.032 to $0.035 zone could turn into a decent accumulation spot—but only if you start seeing real improvements on the fundamental side. That means reduced supply pressure, stronger token utility, or successful creator coin launches that actually stick.
Key things to monitor: exchange reserve levels (how much ZORA is sitting on exchanges versus being moved off), upcoming unlock schedules, on-chain usage stats like creator sign-ups and transaction volume, and any new integration announcements. Volume spikes combined with breaks above resistance would give more confidence in upside targets. Without those signals, expect the price to stay range-bound or drift lower.
