Where Things Stand Right Now
Alchemist AI token is trading around $0.086 at the moment, which puts it roughly 65% below the peak it hit back in mid-December 2025. Daily trading volume hovers near $24.7 million, and about 850 million tokens are currently in circulation out of a maximum supply of one billion.
The broader crypto market hasn’t been kind to AI tokens lately. Investors have been rotating their capital into Real World Assets and Layer-1 blockchain projects instead, leaving AI-focused coins struggling for attention. Despite the price weakness, the Alchemist AI team continues shipping updates—platform improvements, a better 3D engine, and GPT-5 integration are all in the works.
One concern worth mentioning: ten wallets control over 88% of all ALCH tokens. That kind of concentration means a handful of holders can move the price dramatically, adding another layer of volatility on top of normal market swings.
What the Technical Picture Shows
The chart setup right now leans bearish across most timeframes. All the major moving averages—the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 50-day—sit above the current price, acting as overhead resistance. Both simple and exponential averages are flashing sell signals.
The RSI indicator is hovering in the mid-30s, showing bearish momentum without quite reaching oversold levels yet. That means there’s still room for the price to drift lower before hitting extreme territory. The MACD histogram is negative too, confirming that downward momentum hasn’t exhausted itself.
On the price level front, immediate support sits around $0.083 to $0.085, near recent swing lows. If that floor breaks, the next logical area to watch would be $0.070 to $0.075. On the upside, resistance clusters between $0.100 and $0.112, aligned with those moving averages we mentioned earlier. Breaking cleanly above that zone would be the first real sign that the selling pressure is easing.
Three Paths Forward
If the Bulls Show Up
For a bullish case to play out, ALCH needs to hold that $0.083 support and start building buying volume. Positive news—maybe a major partnership announcement or broader enthusiasm returning to AI crypto projects—could push price toward the $0.100 to $0.112 resistance zone. If buyers can actually break through that ceiling with conviction, a move toward $0.125 becomes realistic over the next few weeks.
Most Likely: Choppy and Lower
Given what the indicators are showing and the general lack of enthusiasm in the AI token space, the base case is probably more sideways grinding or a slow drift lower. Expect price to bounce around between $0.080 and $0.100, with those overhead moving averages capping rallies. Without a clear catalyst or shift in sector sentiment, gradual pressure toward $0.075 to $0.080 seems more probable than a sudden reversal.
If Support Cracks
The bearish scenario kicks in if ALCH drops decisively below $0.080. From there, the next meaningful support zone sits between $0.060 and $0.070. A move like that would likely come from either whale selling—remember that concentration risk—or broader market weakness pulling everything down. Any recovery from those levels would need strong reversal signals and a real change in sentiment to gain traction back toward resistance.
Bottom line: the technical setup favors caution right now. The indicators aren’t screaming “sell everything,” but they’re definitely not giving green lights either. Unless something changes on the fundamental or sentiment side, patience and tight risk management make sense here.
